How to Handle Bad Economic News
Well, it’s now official. We’re dealing with a bear market.
As you’ve heard me say before, after experiencing markets like this with our Relaxing Retirement members over the last 22 years, I know just how troubling all of this bad news is to deal with, especially when you’re at the stage in your life where you’re dependent on the money you’ve saved to support you, as opposed to relying on the income from the work you do.
I know how challenging it is to remain confident when the overwhelming majority of voices you hear are delivering sour reports and forecasts.
It’s not easy, and it’s not fun.
Back in the financial crisis of 2008-2009, one of our Relaxing Retirement members asked me in passing how I personally deal with problems, crises, challenges, etc.
It’s a very good question that led to an extremely valuable discussion which I’d like to share with you given our current climate as I believe it will really help you.
Before I reveal this to you, I want to alert you ahead of time that there are both psychological and practical strategies in what in what I recommend for you.
I will say ahead of time that I recognize this may appear to delve deeper than necessary (an expanded Retirement Coach Strategy!), and that I run the risk of having you gloss over it.
However, I believe you have to first understand the way the human brain works. I assure you that understanding this is critical to your progress in these difficult times.
We’re All Hard Wired
Studies have shown that the human brain is broken down into three sections: reptilian (back), mammalian (center), and frontal.
The two critical points of understanding for the purpose of our conversation are that the reptilian portion of our brain is our most primitive in that its response mechanism is dictated by “primal instincts”. Essentially, it’s where our “fight” or “flight” reactions come from when we’re faced with danger.
By contrast, our frontal lobe is where all critical thinking takes place, i.e. reason, analysis, prioritizing, rational thought, etc.
Now, what does this have to do with how I personally deal with challenges and what I recommend for you? Answer: Everything
The key point is that when we’re faced with a challenge (danger) like we’re experiencing right now with this current downturn in stock prices, our initial reaction stems from our reptilian primal instinct, i.e. ‘fight or flight’. To overcome this, we have to consciously move beyond this ‘primal instinct’.
Our brain can only deal with specifics. Vague generalities, like what we’re fed every day by the media, do not help us obtain the clarity we need to make rational decisions, and, in turn, develop and maintain the confidence we need. Instead, these vague generalities only serve to paralyze us.
Because of this, my reaction to all challenges is to de-emotionalize myself as quickly as possible in order to place it all in proper perspective. In other words, I don’t let the “reptilian” part of my brain dictate my response in a knee-jerk fashion.
Instead, I consciously write out all of the “perceived” dangers, obstacles, and setbacks in specific detail on a sheet of paper.
I then do whatever is necessary to quantify all of them as they apply to me and those around me so that I can make rational decisions and react with a well thought out plan.
How You Can Use This Today
With current market and financial turmoil, negativity is pervasive. It’s everywhere.
However, each of us has a choice.
We can either engage in the ‘group think’ perpetuated by the media, or we can get specific about what’s really true in your life because your brain can really only deal with and act on specifics.
Let’s take a look at a few “group think” pieces of information and headlines reported by the media that you’ve undoubtedly heard or read over the last week:
- The recently concluded 3rd quarter was the worst market performance since the 1st quarter of 2009.
- The S&P 500 Index is now down 20% from its April high, and 10% in 2011.
- The Russell 2000 Index (small cap) is down 17.8% in 2011.
- Still Hope for the Fourth Quarter
- Gold falls $35 an Ounce as Inflation Fears Wane
- Bernanke Equates “Twist” to Half a Point Rate Cut
The challenge with all of this “information” is that it’s just a bunch of vague generalities. It’s useless in helping you make rational decisions in your own life.
The Alternative: Meaningful Specifics
In contrast, here’s an “example” of meaningful specifics that would help you make rational decisions, and thus help you develop and maintain your level of confidence. Assume for a moment that these facts are your facts:
- The amount of income you receive from social security and your pensions is $5,000 per month.
- Your fixed monthly expenses (per your Lifestyle Cost Estimator™) are $6,000 including income taxes.
- Your discretionary expenses are $5,000 per month in order to live the way they want, including vacations and gifts for your grandchildren.
- Given this, you need $6,000 ($6,000 fixed plus $5,000 discretionary expenses minus $5,000 of fixed income) per month from your Retirement Bucket™ (your investments) in order to make up the difference.
- Your investment balances, after this market correction, now total $1,400,000.
- You’re 68 years of age and want to plan for at least another 22 years until age 90.
- You’d prefer to live in your current home as long as possible, so you don’t want to “count” the equity in your home in your forecasts. If you had to, you would downsize at some point in your life, but would prefer not to ‘have’ to.
- The investment rate of return we determined that you needed to earn in order to continue your monthly withdrawals of $6,000 (plus a healthy 5% cost of living increase each year) was 5% back in April.
- Today, after six more months of withdrawals and the market’s impact on your investment values, you now need to earn 6%.
Given these meaningful specifics, this example illustrates how you would now know exactly where you personally stand in relation to current economic conditions based on your own unique priorities and resources.
This allows you (if you choose to engage in this line of thinking and exercise) to make rational decisions based on relevant facts instead of remaining paralyzed.
It may not provide you with what you might interpret as “good” news. However, it does provide you with facts that you can make decisions with, such as how you choose to position your money from here forward, or how you choose to spend in the future.
Reading the newspaper, turning on the television, and/or checking on-line throughout the day to see where the market is will not provide you with usable information with which you can act.
It only further perpetuates a lack of confidence, and, in turn “paralysis”.
Given the stage in life that you’re experiencing right now where the money you’ve accumulated over all these years must now support you, you have every right to be anxious and frustrated.
However, as I just illustrated, you want to do everything you can to move forward so that you can continue to confidently live the way you want.